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Trump gets bump in new Arizona poll

Donald Trump has a narrow edge in the latest poll of Arizona voters, with a 45-41 lead over Hillary Clinton — just within the 4.1 percent margin of error. About 6 percent remained undecided in the poll, and another 6 percent preferred other candidates.

Other recent polls have shown a close race, with an Oct. 26-28 YouGov survey showing a 44-42 percent Trump/Clinton split. An Oct. 22-24 Saguaro Strategies poll showed Clinton up 48-45 percent.

The survey by Phoenix firm Data Orbital was released Tuesday, and showed U.S. Sen. John McCain with a 50-40 percent lead over the Democratic challenger, U.S. Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick. Eight percent were undecided in that race.

The only other question released by the pollster showed Prop. 205, which would legalize recreational marijuana in Arizona, trailing by 6 points, with 51 percent set to vote no.

The Oct. 29-30 poll was weighted by demographics to reflect voting patterns in prior elections. Some 33 percent of those included in the survey were age 65 or older. More than half of those surveyed were age 55 and older.

The live poll of 550 likely general election voters included a 50-50 split of landline and cell phones.

In the presidential race, Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson was the choice of three percent of those surveyed. Green Party nominee Jill Stein got one percent support, while "other" got the backing of two percent. Another two percent refused to state a choice.

Both campaigns have pushed in Arizona, which has traditionally gone for Republican presidential candidates.

Democrats have poured money and time into trying to wrest Arizona's 11 electoral votes into the blue column, dispatching campaign workers, millions in advertising and high-profile visitors such as First Lady Michelle Obama and U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders in recent weeks.

U.S. Sen. Tim Kaine, the Democrats' vice-presidential nominee, plans a Tucson campaign appearance at Sunnyside High School on Thursday. Clinton is set to hold a rally in Tempe the day before, while GOP VP nominee Mike Pence will hold a Mesa event.

Trump made a Phoenix appearance on Saturday, his seventh public campaign rally in the state, looking to shore up support in what has unexpectedly become a swing state. His son, Donald Trump Jr., spoke to a small crowd last Thursday in Tempe.

Kaine, a senator from Virginia, is also scheduled to speak at a rally in Phoenix on Thursday afternoon, where Clinton representatives said he will "deliver remarks entirely in Spanish -  a first for an organized campaign rally during a U.S. presidential campaign."

Clinton's event will be her second campaign appearance in the state; she held an event in Phoenix just before the March presidential preference election.

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Nov 1, 2016, 3:01 pm
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Kaine, a senator from Virginia, is also scheduled to speak at a rally in Phoenix on Thursday afternoon, where Clinton representatives said he will “deliver remarks entirely in Spanish - a first for an organized campaign rally during a U.S. presidential campaign.”

How exactly is this supposed to convince me, a non-Spanish-speaking voter, to vote blue?

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Paul Ingram/TucsonSentinel.com

Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump speaks at the Phoenix Convention Center in August.