Sponsored by


Note: This story is more than 5 years old.

Poll: Clinton vs. Trump a toss-up in Arizona

A poll released Monday showed that Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are essentially tied in Arizona, with the Democrat up a single point over the Republican in the traditionally GOP-leaning state.

The former secretary of State, senator and first lady had a 40-39 lead over Trump in a poll released Monday by OH Predictive Insights.

That's slightly tighter than the 45-42 break in Clinton's favor in a poll by the same firm released Aug. 2.

"Donald Trump continues to slowly increase his numbers, coming to a near virtual tie here in Arizona," said Mike Noble, a Republican campaign consultant and pollster for the firm.

Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson had 7 percent support (up from 4 percent earlier this month), with Green Jill Stein still at 1 percent. The number of undecided voters ticked up to 13 percent, up from 8 percent in the earlier OHPI poll. The margin of error in the latest poll was 3.63 percent.

Last week, a CNN poll showed Trump up five percent: 43-38, with Johnson at 12 percent and Stein at 4 percent.

"Typically, during an election year, Arizona gets little-to-no attention in a presidential contest but this election year appears to be an enigma," Noble said. It's been 20 years since Arizona last backed a Democrat for president — President Bill Clinton was returned to office in 1996 in part because of his win here.

"Hillary Clinton's Democratic vote is more consolidated compared to Donald Trump's Republican vote, 83 to 73 percent," said the pollster. "Surprisingly, the gender gap between the two candidates is nearly non-existent in Arizona, with Clinton leading Trump by 4 percent with female voters."

The poll surveyed 728 likely Democratic, Republican, and no-party-declared voters across the state. Twenty-three percent of those surveyed in the live-caller poll used cell phones.

- 30 -
have your say   


There are no comments on this report. Sorry, comments are closed.

Sorry, we missed your input...

You must be logged in or register to comment

Read all of TucsonSentinel.com's
coronavirus reporting here »

Click image to enlarge

Rebekah Zemansky/Gregory Hauenstein