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Poll: Trump leads among Az GOP voters, but support topping out
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Poll: Trump leads among Az GOP voters, but support topping out

  • Trump speaks in New Hampshire, Feb. 8.
    Marc Nozell/FlickrTrump speaks in New Hampshire, Feb. 8.

Donald Trump is leading the pack of potential Republican nominees among party voters in Arizona, a GOP pollster said. But he's down slightly from a poll last month, and "has a ceiling and cannot attract the wide swath of GOP voters."

More than 20 percent remained undecided, with early voting set to begin this week.

Trump had 34.8 percent support among likely voters in next month's presidential preference election in the state, pollster Michael Noble said.

Last month, Trump had 38.3 percent support.

"The early primaries and caucuses have winnowed a 17-person field down to just four credible choices," said Noble, of Phoenix's MBQF Consulting.

Marco Rubio had 22.7 percent support in the poll of 736 "high efficacy primary voters," he said. Ted Cruz garnered 14.1 percent, and John Kasich had 7.1 percent.

Just more than 21 percent of GOP voters remained undecided. Early voting in Arizona's equivalent of a primary begins Wednesday. The poll, conducted Feb. 22, had a 3.61 percent margin of error, Noble said.

In the poll, Trump "maintains his consistent advantage from likely GOP voters," Noble said in a news release. "However, the poll shows what many have long discussed – Trump has a ceiling and cannot attract the wide swath of GOP voters."

"Trump is on pace to win Arizona big in March, but would be an underdog to repeat that feat in November," said Noble, who is a consultant for the congressional campaign of Pinal County Sheriff Paul Babeu.

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