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Orange alert: McSally has a Trump problem

Martha McSally is about to learn it's much different running for reelection when your party is in the White House than it is when your team is out of power. Mid-term elections are referendums on the president and McSally now gets to be Trump's proxy. ... Read more»

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3 comments on this story

1
7 comments
Jan 23, 2017, 9:22 pm
-0 +0

Wow, Blake, you can tell a story!  A few questions: first, where is Doug Ducey going after his current term in office?  Surely you don’t think McSally will take him on in a primary?  Remember he’s the guy who told Fred Duval he could triple any amount Fred raised to run against him…. or something like that.  Think Kochs.  I know Martha is busy bagging every buck she can but it has never occurred to me that it’s for a race against an incumbent governor in a primary.  So once again, where is Ducey going?  And speaking of going, I’d been considering Martha as a potential Air Force Secretary, but the President has given the nod to a former USAF captain…. who served several terms in the House and is now a college president.  I’d say Heather Wilson might be a likelier future POTUS.  Hmmmmh?  Final question: what is this charisma of McSally’s?  Charismatic in comparison to her 2016 opponent perhaps, but really…....

2
3 comments
Jan 23, 2017, 11:10 pm
-0 +0

If McSally makes it thru the primary she would be the favorite in the general. She is capable and can cross party lines. But getting through the primary requires she break the lock Ducey has on the senior population in Arizona with his no tax, no changes in the status quo biases. The elderly are already the kingmakers in AZ and get stronger every year.

Likely general discontent with a Trump presidency almost guarantees the senate to McSally if she makes it to the general, again the problem being Trump espouses elderly-friendly ideas and won’t affect Ducey’s chances as much here as most other places.

Whatever, at least Ducey will be gone, giving Az a chance at 'enlightened’ leadership. At some point you can bury yourself so deep there ain’t no digging out-and AZ has demographic trends that aren’t good for businesses or incomes.

3
12 comments
Jan 23, 2017, 11:54 pm
-0 +0

Friar Tuck, I didn’t go into the whole mapping. But it would look like her running for governor in 2022 (Ducey would be term limited) and then if she survives re-election, she could run in 2028.

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Paul Ingram/TucsonSentinel.com

McSally at a 2015 groundbreaking for a road near Raytheon Missile Systems in Tucson.

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