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Election 2010

Glassman trails McCain, Hayworth in Az Senate poll

83% of likely voters say immigration important factor in campaign

Former Tucson City Councilman Rodney Glassman wouldn't fare well in Arizona's U.S. Senate race if it were held today.

Glassman, the presumptive Democratic candidate, trails Sen. John McCain 54 percent to 32 percent in a poll released Friday. Glassman would do a little better if former Congressman J.D. Hayworth were his opponent, but would still lose 48 percent to 39 percent. Rassmussen Reports polled 500 likely Arizona voters on Tuesday.

While Republicans may be heartened by those numbers, there's still no GOP candidate. McCain and Hayworth will face off in an Aug. 24 primary. If that were held today, McCain would win, but it would be closer, 47 percent to 42 percent.

McCain is viewed very favorably by 20 percent of all Arizona voters, while 21 percent view the senator very unfavorably. For Hayworth, very favorables are 16 percent, very unfavorables 30 percent.

Glassman, a relative unknown outside of Tucson, is described as very favorably by 8 percent of likely Arizona voters, while 14 percent view him very unfavorably. Glassman recently resigned from his seat on the Tucson City Council to run for the Senate.

Other results

A large majority - 83 percent - say a candidate's immigration policies will be an important factor in how they will vote.

They also believe, by a 73 percent to 20 percent tally, that gaining control of the border is more important than legalizing the status of undocumented workers already in the country.

59 percent say Arizona should join the other states suing to stop the health care plan, challenging the constitutionality of that requirement. More than one-third oppose such a suit.

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By a 52 percent to 36 percent margin, Arizona voters feel their views on the major issues of the day are more in line with those of the average Tea Party member than those of President Obama.

Forty-one percent approve of the job Obama is doing, while 58 percent disapprove. This includes 28 percent who strongly approve and 50 percent who strongly disapprove.

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2 comments on this story

Apr 16, 2010, 4:47 pm
-0 +0

While I think it’s a little early to say these numbers are firm, I can’t see the Dems beating even Hayworth unless they find a candidate with state-wide name recognition.You know McCain will do that old Jim Kolbe “shuffle back to the middle” once he gets past the Tea Party primary voters. If Glassman is his opponent, we’re in for six more years of seeing McCain’s mug every week on the Sunday gasbag shows.

Apr 16, 2010, 4:03 pm
-0 +0

Isn’t Glassman betting on Hayworth upsetting McCain

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McCain, Glassman, Hayworth, L to R.

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This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters in Arizona was conducted by Rasmussen Reports on April 13, 2010. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.